# sources

title: IMF: The debate over falling fertility david bloom
node_name: Total Fertility Rate
created_at: 2026-05-10 09:22:35
url:
https://www.imf.org/en/publications/fandd/issues/2025/06/the-debate-over-falling-fertility-david-bloom


title: OECD: Demographic old age to working age ratio 25476b96
node_name: Old-Age Dependency Ratio
created_at: 2026-05-10 09:22:35
url:
https://www.oecd.org/en/publications/pensions-at-a-glance-2025_e40274c1-en/full-report/demographic-old-age-to-working-age-ratio_25476b96.html


title: cepr.org: Population ageing pension policies alone will not prevent decline relative size
node_name: Old-Age Dependency Ratio
created_at: 2026-05-10 09:22:35
url:
https://cepr.org/voxeu/columns/population-ageing-pension-policies-alone-will-not-prevent-decline-relative-size


title: OECD: Rapidly ageing populations will continue to put pressure on pension systems
node_name: Pay-As-You-Go Pension Architecture
created_at: 2026-05-10 09:22:35
url:
https://www.oecd.org/en/about/news/press-releases/2025/11/rapidly-ageing-populations-will-continue-to-put-pressure-on-pension-systems.html


node_name: Pronatalist Policy Inefficacy
created_at: 2026-05-10 09:22:35
url:
https://www.niussp.org/fertility-and-reproduction/evaluating-pronatalist-policies-with-tfr-brings-misleading-conclusions-examples-fromhungary/

title:
niussp.org: Evaluating pronatalist policies with tfr brings misleading conclusions examples fromhungary


title: OECD: 6aec03b3 en
node_name: Baby Boomer Demographic Wave
created_at: 2026-05-10 09:22:35
url:
https://www.oecd.org/content/dam/oecd/en/publications/reports/2025/10/ageing-populations-their-fiscal-implications-and-policy-responses_be4bd619/6aec03b3-en.pdf


title: unfpa.org: Unfpa report links falling birth rates cost living sexist norms fear future
node_name: Female Education-Fertility Lever
created_at: 2026-05-10 09:22:35
url:
https://www.unfpa.org/press/unfpa-report-links-falling-birth-rates-cost-living-sexist-norms-fear-future


title: bpr.studentorg.berkeley.edu: Demographic divergence and the repricing of global growth
node_name: Demographic Dividend Reversal
created_at: 2026-05-10 09:22:35
url:
https://bpr.studentorg.berkeley.edu/2026/04/28/demographic-divergence-and-the-repricing-of-global-growth/


title: adb.org: Adr vol40no2 4 prc demographic dividend labor supply
node_name: Demographic Dividend Reversal
created_at: 2026-05-10 09:22:35
url:
https://www.adb.org/sites/default/files/publication/917331/adr-vol40no2-4-prc-demographic-dividend-labor-supply.pdf


node_name: Demographic-Automation Substitution Loop
created_at: 2026-05-10 09:22:35
url:
https://humansareobsolete.com/articles/japan-aging-workforce-robotics-crisis-570000-care-worker-shortage-2040-february-3-2026

title:
humansareobsolete.com: Japan aging workforce robotics crisis 570000 care worker shortage 2040 february 3 2026


title: oecdecoscope.blog: The fiscal impact of population ageing how can we afford getting older
node_name: Long-Term Care Spending Spiral
created_at: 2026-05-10 09:22:35
url:
https://oecdecoscope.blog/2025/11/07/the-fiscal-impact-of-population-ageing-how-can-we-afford-getting-older/


title: OECD: Health spending projections d3702f1a
node_name: Long-Term Care Spending Spiral
created_at: 2026-05-10 09:22:35
url:
https://www.oecd.org/en/publications/2025/11/health-at-a-glance-2025_a894f72e/full-report/health-spending-projections_d3702f1a.html


title: sites.lsa.umich.edu: The great wealth transfer and its implications for the american economy
node_name: Great Wealth Transfer
created_at: 2026-05-10 09:22:35
url:
https://sites.lsa.umich.edu/mje/2025/04/03/the-great-wealth-transfer-and-its-implications-for-the-american-economy/


title: fortune.com: Millennials richest generation on record great wealth transfer from baby boomers
node_name: Great Wealth Transfer
created_at: 2026-05-10 09:22:35
url:
https://fortune.com/2025/03/28/millennials-richest-generation-on-record-great-wealth-transfer-from-baby-boomers/


node_name: Gerontocracy Fiscal Lock-In
created_at: 2026-05-10 09:22:35
url:
https://politicalquarterly.org.uk/blog/from-gerontocracy-to-gerontonomia-the-politics-of-economic-stagnation-in-ageing-democracies/

title:
politicalquarterly.org.uk: From gerontocracy to gerontonomia the politics of economic stagnation in ageing democracies


title: atlantafed.org: 12 why aging induces deflation and secular stagnation
node_name: Demographic Secular Stagnation
created_at: 2026-05-10 09:22:35
url:
https://www.atlantafed.org/-/media/documents/research/publications/wp/2022/09/29/12--why-aging-induces-deflation-and-secular-stagnation.pdf


title: mba.org: 23976 research riha silver tsunami report wb
node_name: Silver Tsunami Asset Deflation Risk
created_at: 2026-05-10 09:22:35
url:
https://www.mba.org/docs/default-source/uploadedfiles/research/riha/23976_research_riha_silver_tsunami_report_wb.pdf


title: highereddive.com: 738281
node_name: Higher Education Enrollment Cliff
created_at: 2026-05-10 09:22:35
url:
https://www.highereddive.com/news/decline-high-school-graduates-demographic-cliff-wiche-charts/738281/


title: bhw.hrsa.gov: State of US Health Care Workforce 2025
node_name: Healthcare Workforce Double-Bind
created_at: 2026-05-10 09:22:35
url:
https://bhw.hrsa.gov/sites/default/files/bureau-health-workforce/data-research/State-of-US-Health-Care-Workforce-2025.pdf


title: if.org.uk: The burdens of borrowing government debt and intergenerational fairness
node_name: Intergenerational Fiscal Squeeze
created_at: 2026-05-10 09:22:35
url:
https://www.if.org.uk/2025/01/28/the-burdens-of-borrowing-government-debt-and-intergenerational-fairness/


title: westernasset.com: Aging populations and growing public debt burdens
node_name: Intergenerational Fiscal Squeeze
created_at: 2026-05-10 09:22:35
url:
https://www.westernasset.com/us/en/pdfs/whitepapers/aging-populations-and-growing-public-debt-burdens.pdf


title: un.org: Undesa pd 2025 wfr 2024 final
node_name: Structural Childlessness Trend
created_at: 2026-05-10 09:22:35
url:
https://www.un.org/development/desa/pd/sites/www.un.org.development.desa.pd/files/undesa_pd_2025_wfr_2024_final.pdf


title: pub.nordregio.org: Chapter 2 fertility decline in the nordic region
node_name: Nordic Fertility Exceptionalism Collapse
created_at: 2026-05-10 09:22:35
url:
https://pub.nordregio.org/r-2024-13-state-of-the-nordic-region-2024/chapter-2-fertility-decline-in-the-nordic-region.html


title: read.dukeupress.edu: Not Just Later but Fewer Novel Trends in Cohort
node_name: Nordic Fertility Exceptionalism Collapse
created_at: 2026-05-10 09:22:35
url:
https://read.dukeupress.edu/demography/article/58/4/1373/174063/Not-Just-Later-but-Fewer-Novel-Trends-in-Cohort


title: spglobal.com: India s demographic dividend the key to unlocking its global ambitions
node_name: India Demographic Dividend Window
created_at: 2026-05-10 09:22:35
url:
https://www.spglobal.com/en/research-insights/special-reports/look-forward/india-s-demographic-dividend-the-key-to-unlocking-its-global-ambitions


title: usni.org: Us military becoming more diverse and not design
node_name: Military Demographic Hollowing
created_at: 2026-05-10 09:22:35
url:
https://www.usni.org/magazines/proceedings/2026/january/us-military-becoming-more-diverse-and-not-design


title: yournews.com: Military readiness crisis vast majority of u s youth unfit for
node_name: Demographic Military Readiness Crisis
created_at: 2026-05-10 09:22:35
url:
https://yournews.com/2025/07/03/3571034/military-readiness-crisis-vast-majority-of-u-s-youth-unfit-for/


title: who.int: Social isolation and loneliness
node_name: Aging Loneliness Epidemic
created_at: 2026-05-10 09:22:35
url:
https://www.who.int/teams/social-determinants-of-health/demographic-change-and-healthy-ageing/social-isolation-and-loneliness


node_name: Sub-Saharan Africa Youth Bulge
created_at: 2026-05-10 09:22:35
url:
https://www.newsweek.com/map-global-population-increase-sub-saharan-africa-population-birth-rate-fertility-rate-2103515

title:
newsweek.com: Map global population increase sub saharan africa population birth rate fertility rate 2103515


title: unfpa.org: EN State%20of%20World%20Population%20report%202025
node_name: Male Labor Withdrawal Fertility Channel
created_at: 2026-05-10 09:22:35
url:
https://www.unfpa.org/sites/default/files/pub-pdf/EN_State%20of%20World%20Population%20report%202025.pdf


title: intereconomics.eu: The 2023 france pension reform
node_name: Pension Reform Political Impossibility
created_at: 2026-05-10 09:22:35
url:
https://www.intereconomics.eu/contents/year/2023/number/3/article/the-2023-france-pension-reform.html


title: voanews.com: 7936437
node_name: Pension Reform Political Impossibility
created_at: 2026-05-10 09:22:35
url:
https://www.voanews.com/a/france-s-new-prime-minister-announces-renegotiation-of-contested-plan-to-raise-retirement-age/7936437.html


title: OECD: F91693e3 en
node_name: Shrinking Cities Death Spiral
created_at: 2026-05-10 09:22:35
url:
https://www.oecd.org/content/dam/oecd/en/publications/reports/2025/05/shrinking-smartly-and-sustainably_f94497c0/f91693e3-en.pdf


title: westernasset.com: Fiscal dominance in the us will politics trump policy 2025 08 25
node_name: Fiscal Dominance from Aging Debt
created_at: 2026-05-10 09:22:35
url:
https://www.westernasset.com/us/en/research/blog/fiscal-dominance-in-the-us-will-politics-trump-policy-2025-08-25.cfm


node_name: Fiscal Dominance from Aging Debt
created_at: 2026-05-10 09:22:35
url:
https://www.brookings.edu/articles/remarks-by-janet-l-yellen-on-the-future-of-the-fed-central-bank-independence-and-fiscal-dominance/

title:
Brookings: Remarks by janet l yellen on the future of the fed central bank independence and fiscal dominance


title: IMF: G20 Background Note on Aging and Migration
node_name: Immigration Backlash Doom Loop
created_at: 2026-05-10 09:22:35
url:
https://www.imf.org/-/media/Files/Research/imf-and-g20/2025/G20-Background-Note-on-Aging-and-Migration.ashx


title: Brookings: How 2026s divisive immigration politics could lead to a solution down the road
node_name: Immigration Backlash Doom Loop
created_at: 2026-05-10 09:22:35
url:
https://www.brookings.edu/articles/how-2026s-divisive-immigration-politics-could-lead-to-a-solution-down-the-road/


title: csis.org: Demographic dilemma why military support must consider population trends
node_name: Military Demographic Crisis
created_at: 2026-05-10 09:22:35
url:
https://www.csis.org/analysis/demographic-dilemma-why-military-support-must-consider-population-trends


title: niussp.org: Fertility and nuptiality of ultra orthodox jews in the united states
node_name: Religious Fertility Exception Mechanism
created_at: 2026-05-10 09:22:35
url:
https://www.niussp.org/fertility-and-reproduction/fertility-and-nuptiality-of-ultra-orthodox-jews-in-the-united-states/


title: osw.waw.pl: Hungarys ongoing demographic decline increase birth rates only
node_name: Pronatalist Policy Ineffectiveness Trap
created_at: 2026-05-10 09:22:35
url:
https://www.osw.waw.pl/en/publikacje/osw-commentary/2025-04-14/hungarys-ongoing-demographic-decline-increase-birth-rates-only


title: Brookings: Why do elderly people oppose immigration when theyre most likely to benefit
node_name: Anti-Immigration Gerontocracy Paradox
created_at: 2026-05-10 09:22:35
url:
https://www.brookings.edu/articles/why-do-elderly-people-oppose-immigration-when-theyre-most-likely-to-benefit/


title: foreignpolicy.com: Birthrates israel demographics religion nationalism world population
node_name: Israel Pronatalism Exception
created_at: 2026-05-10 09:22:35
url:
https://foreignpolicy.com/2025/05/14/birthrates-israel-demographics-religion-nationalism-world-population/


title: sofrep.com: The dying giant how chinas demographic collapse threatens its military ambitions
node_name: Demographic-Military Power Squeeze
created_at: 2026-05-10 09:22:35
url:
https://sofrep.com/news/the-dying-giant-how-chinas-demographic-collapse-threatens-its-military-ambitions/


title: Brookings: The silver economy is coming of age a look at the growing spending power of seniors
node_name: Silver Economy Demand Inversion
created_at: 2026-05-10 09:22:35
url:
https://www.brookings.edu/articles/the-silver-economy-is-coming-of-age-a-look-at-the-growing-spending-power-of-seniors/


title: pew.org: An increase in pension obligations adds to states unfunded liabilities
node_name: State/Local Pension Fund Insolvency Spiral
created_at: 2026-05-10 09:22:35
url:
https://www.pew.org/en/research-and-analysis/articles/2025/07/30/an-increase-in-pension-obligations-adds-to-states-unfunded-liabilities


title: siepr.stanford.edu: Public pensions are mixing risky investments unrealistic predictions
node_name: State/Local Pension Fund Insolvency Spiral
created_at: 2026-05-10 09:22:35
url:
https://siepr.stanford.edu/news/public-pensions-are-mixing-risky-investments-unrealistic-predictions


node_name: Longevity Biotech Wild Card
created_at: 2026-05-10 09:22:35
url:
https://insights.wchsb.com/2026/01/20/reversing-aging-how-ai-in-2026-is-rolling-back-the-biological-clock-and-why-it-scares-business/

title:
insights.wchsb.com: Reversing aging how ai in 2026 is rolling back the biological clock and why it scares business


title: fpri.org: Americas great power challenge managing russias decline and chinas rise
node_name: Demographic-Geopolitical Power Rebalancing
created_at: 2026-05-10 09:22:35
url:
https://www.fpri.org/article/2022/12/americas-great-power-challenge-managing-russias-decline-and-chinas-rise/


title: fdd.org: The demographic dilemma why military support must consider population trends
node_name: Demographic Military Capacity Erosion
created_at: 2026-05-10 09:22:35
url:
https://www.fdd.org/analysis/2024/12/16/the-demographic-dilemma-why-military-support-must-consider-population-trends


title: institute.global: Can moldova point the way through europes rural depopulation challenge
node_name: Rural Depopulation Service Desert
created_at: 2026-05-10 09:22:35
url:
https://institute.global/insights/geopolitics-and-security/can-moldova-point-the-way-through-europes-rural-depopulation-challenge


title: OECD: Allocation of assets 2cfd1e66
node_name: Pension-Bond Demand Channel
created_at: 2026-05-10 09:22:35
url:
https://www.oecd.org/en/publications/pensions-at-a-glance-2025_e40274c1-en/full-report/allocation-of-assets_2cfd1e66.html


title: timesofisrael.com: Israels birth rate remains highest in oecd by far at 2 9 children per woman
node_name: Israel Fertility Exception Mechanism
created_at: 2026-05-10 09:22:35
url:
https://www.timesofisrael.com/israels-birth-rate-remains-highest-in-oecd-by-far-at-2-9-children-per-woman/


title: Brookings: Macroeconomic implications of immigration flows in 2025 and 2026 january 2026 update
node_name: Anti-Immigration Self-Blocking Paradox
created_at: 2026-05-10 09:22:35
url:
https://www.brookings.edu/articles/macroeconomic-implications-of-immigration-flows-in-2025-and-2026-january-2026-update/


title: medium.com: Longevity escape velocity promise pressure and practical limits 54348dd32040
node_name: Longevity Escape Velocity Fiscal Paradox
created_at: 2026-05-10 09:22:35
url:
https://medium.com/illumination/longevity-escape-velocity-promise-pressure-and-practical-limits-54348dd32040


title: careers.milliman.com: Altered carbon actuarial escape velocity and insurance in a post human world
node_name: Longevity Escape Velocity Fiscal Paradox
created_at: 2026-05-10 09:22:35
url:
https://careers.milliman.com/en/insight/2018/altered-carbon--actuarial-escape-velocity--and-insurance-in-a-post-human-world/


title: frbsf.org: Boomer retirement us equity markets
node_name: Demographic Asset Meltdown
created_at: 2026-05-10 09:22:35
url:
https://www.frbsf.org/research-and-insights/publications/economic-letter/2011/08/boomer-retirement-us-equity-markets/


title: nato.int: Sgar25 en
node_name: NATO Demographic Readiness Gap
created_at: 2026-05-10 09:22:35
url:
https://www.nato.int/content/dam/nato/webready/documents/publications-and-reports/annual-reports/sgar25-en.pdf


title: carsey.unh.edu: Rural america lost population over past decade first time history
node_name: Rural Demographic Death Spiral
created_at: 2026-05-10 09:22:35
url:
https://carsey.unh.edu/publication/rural-america-lost-population-over-past-decade-first-time-history


title: cambridge.org: FCCA7EAC66F472FF42179B178FD611EC
node_name: Gerontocracy Climate Deadlock
created_at: 2026-05-10 09:22:35
url:
https://www.cambridge.org/core/journals/perspectives-on-politics/article/aging-democracy-demographic-effects-political-legitimacy-and-the-quest-for-generational-pluralism/FCCA7EAC66F472FF42179B178FD611EC


title: environmentalvoter.org: Gray new green growing strength older climate voters 2025
node_name: Gerontocracy Climate Deadlock
created_at: 2026-05-10 09:22:35
url:
https://www.environmentalvoter.org/updates/gray-new-green-growing-strength-older-climate-voters-2025


node_name: Urban Fertility Penalty
created_at: 2026-05-10 09:22:35
url:
https://rsisinternational.org/journals/ijriss/articles/urbanization-as-a-driver-of-demographic-transition-insights-from-europe-and-south-asia/

title:
rsisinternational.org: Urbanization as a driver of demographic transition insights from europe and south asia


title: niussp.org: The rural urban fertility gradient in the global south
node_name: Urban Fertility Penalty
created_at: 2026-05-10 09:22:35
url:
https://www.niussp.org/fertility-and-reproduction/the-rural-urban-fertility-gradient-in-the-global-south/


node_name: Debt-Demographics Crowding Out Loop
created_at: 2026-05-10 09:22:35
url:
https://www.oecd.org/en/about/news/press-releases/2025/03/higher-and-more-expensive-sovereign-and-corporate-debt-risks-restricting-capacity-to-finance-future-investment-needs.html

title:
OECD: Higher and more expensive sovereign and corporate debt risks restricting capacity to finance future investment needs


node_name: Male Social Isolation-Marriage Collapse
created_at: 2026-05-10 09:22:35
url:
https://now.org/blog/a-new-era-of-dating-what-the-male-loneliness-epidemic-discourse-signals-about-the-future-of-heterosexual-romance/

title:
now.org: A new era of dating what the male loneliness epidemic discourse signals about the future of heterosexual romance


title: rdrc.wisc.edu: W120 12 Maestas.Messel.Truskinovsky FinalPaper 9.16.21 (1
node_name: Eldercare-Fertility Gender Double Bind
created_at: 2026-05-10 09:22:35
url:
https://rdrc.wisc.edu/files/working-papers/W120-12_Maestas.Messel.Truskinovsky_FinalPaper_9.16.21-(1


title: OECD: 5e2e6aae en
node_name: Eldercare-Fertility Gender Double Bind
created_at: 2026-05-10 09:22:35
url:
https://www.oecd.org/content/dam/oecd/en/publications/reports/2025/12/women-work-and-the-population-puzzle_3711a72f/5e2e6aae-en.pdf


title: rtor.org: Breaking down gen zs mental health crisis why depression rates are higher than ever
node_name: Gen Z Mental Health Fertility Brake
created_at: 2026-05-10 09:22:35
url:
https://www.rtor.org/2025/01/27/breaking-down-gen-zs-mental-health-crisis-why-depression-rates-are-higher-than-ever/


title: ecb.europa.eu: Ecb.fsrart202505 03~9db108da0e.en
node_name: Fiscal Dominance Demographic Trigger
created_at: 2026-05-10 09:22:35
url:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/financial-stability-publications/fsr/special/html/ecb.fsrart202505_03~9db108da0e.en.html


title: OECD: Sovereign borrowing outlook 4470147b
node_name: Fiscal Dominance Demographic Trigger
created_at: 2026-05-10 09:22:35
url:
https://www.oecd.org/en/publications/global-debt-report-2026_e9d80efd-en/full-report/sovereign-borrowing-outlook_4470147b.html


title: nwlc.org: Project 2025 and pronatalism how trumps allies are pushing a far right family agenda
node_name: Natalist Political Radicalization
created_at: 2026-05-10 09:22:35
url:
https://nwlc.org/project-2025-and-pronatalism-how-trumps-allies-are-pushing-a-far-right-family-agenda/


title: cpreview.org: Selective gestation the racial politics of american pronatalism
node_name: Natalist Political Radicalization
created_at: 2026-05-10 09:22:35
url:
http://www.cpreview.org/articles/2025/6/selective-gestation-the-racial-politics-of-american-pronatalism


title: cnbc.com: Jpmorgan aging population will affect long term equity performance
node_name: Demographic Asset Meltdown Hypothesis
created_at: 2026-05-10 09:22:35
url:
https://www.cnbc.com/2024/09/05/jpmorgan-aging-population-will-affect-long-term-equity-performance.html


title: ucsf.edu: Can blockbuster glp 1 weight loss drugs also protect brain health
node_name: GLP-1 Aging Healthcare Wildcard
created_at: 2026-05-10 09:22:35
url:
https://www.ucsf.edu/news/2026/05/431871/can-blockbuster-glp-1-weight-loss-drugs-also-protect-brain-health


title: cms.gov: Coming soon cms provide 50 monthly access glp 1 medications medicare beneficiaries
node_name: GLP-1 Aging Healthcare Wildcard
created_at: 2026-05-10 09:22:35
url:
https://www.cms.gov/newsroom/press-releases/coming-soon-cms-provide-50-monthly-access-glp-1-medications-medicare-beneficiaries


title: kff.org: What to know about the balance model for glp 1s in medicare and medicaid
node_name: GLP-1 Aging Healthcare Wildcard
created_at: 2026-05-10 09:22:35
url:
https://www.kff.org/medicare/what-to-know-about-the-balance-model-for-glp-1s-in-medicare-and-medicaid/


title: pew.org: State pension funding levels stayed stable despite volatility
node_name: Subnational Pension Solvency Trap
created_at: 2026-05-10 09:22:35
url:
https://www.pew.org/en/research-and-analysis/articles/2025/10/29/state-pension-funding-levels-stayed-stable-despite-volatility


node_name: Silver Economy Consumption Boom
created_at: 2026-05-10 09:22:35
url:
https://www.silvereco.org/en/silver-economy-market-report-a-growing-opportunity-in-the-face-of-an-aging-population/

title:
silvereco.org: Silver economy market report a growing opportunity in the face of an aging population


title: politics-government.news-articles.net: Demographic revolution aging west vs youthful africa
node_name: Demographic Geopolitical Grand Synthesis
created_at: 2026-05-10 09:22:35
url:
https://politics-government.news-articles.net/content/2026/03/31/demographic-revolution-aging-west-vs-youthful-africa.html


node_name: Demographic Geopolitical Grand Synthesis
created_at: 2026-05-10 09:22:35
url:
https://www.geopolitika.it/en/global-demographic-dynamics-today-and-in-the-coming-decades-how-population-change-will-reshape-geoeconomic-and-geopolitical-equilibria/

title:
geopolitika.it: Global demographic dynamics today and in the coming decades how population change will reshape geoeconomic and geopolitical equilibria


title: euronews.com: The gap between years lived in good health and how long we live is getting wider
node_name: Longevity-Healthspan Gap
created_at: 2026-05-10 09:22:35
url:
https://www.euronews.com/health/2024/12/19/the-gap-between-years-lived-in-good-health-and-how-long-we-live-is-getting-wider


